PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

219.87 – 122.34

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

191 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 58.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 336.6 ±9.8

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 123.85Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 50.9Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 45.12Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 178.2 ±11

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 54.61Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 67.13Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1033810338 - CircuitMakers

Season APEX 32Event APEX 0.6Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4188, 6905, 3091

/ 100 compat

Projected

219.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4188, 6905, 3091

Auto

56.3 25%

Teleop

144.1 65%

Endgame

22.0 10%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6023, 3635, 10338

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6023, 3635, 10338

Auto

16.4 15%

Teleop

62.5 57%

Endgame

30.4 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.08 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score219.9pts

Blue projected score122.3pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 97.5
Score range: 97–245
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 226 vs event baseline 139.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

336.6Season APEX178.2

56.3Auto16.4

144.1Teleop62.5

22Endgame30.4

74Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	0
teleop	98	15
endgame	34	20
foul	30	0
total	191	35

Result

Final score

191 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 58.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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