PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

66.46 – 81.92

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

68 – 41

Prediction missed · off by 21.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 196.7 ±11

8100Grayson Robotics

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 26.3Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 15.45Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 24.71Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 149.1 ±10.5

7538Metal Mountain

Season APEX 26.2Event APEX 15.8Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6910Mill Creek Steel Talons

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 54.57Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 11.55Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8100, 5109, 8080

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8100, 5109, 8080

Auto

25.9 37%

Teleop

44.7 64%

Endgame

-0.6 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7538, 6910, 11214

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7538, 6910, 11214

Auto

29.3 35%

Teleop

32.0 39%

Endgame

21.3 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score66.5pts

Blue projected score81.9pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -15.5
Score range: 40–108
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 109 vs event baseline 146.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

196.7Season APEX149.1

25.9Auto29.3

44.7Teleop32

-0.6Endgame21.3

71Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	15
teleop	37	10
endgame	11	11
foul	0	5
total	68	41

Result

Final score

68 – 41

Prediction missed · off by 21.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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