Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

175141.14

60%40%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

276315

Prediction missed · off by 137.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 348 ±11.2
Season APEX 40Event APEX 22.29Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 162.1Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42.7Event APEX -9.39Rank 28Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 397.4 ±9.3
Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 22.01Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 53.27Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 65.86Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6905, 1002, 7104
74
/ 100 compat
Projected
175 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6905, 1002, 7104
Auto
46.9 27%
Teleop
91.9 53%
Endgame
35.0 20%
Strengths
  • · 1002 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3635, 9477, 6919
62
/ 100 compat
Projected
141.1 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3635, 9477, 6919
Auto
36.0 28%
Teleop
66.9 52%
Endgame
25.1 20%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.35
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score175pts
Blue projected score141.1pts
Red win probability60%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
33.9
Score range
115201
Upset likelihood
40%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 591 vs event baseline 142.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

348Season APEX397.4
46.9Auto36
91.9Teleop66.9
35Endgame25.1
67Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto6049
teleop173108
endgame43113
foul045
total276315

Result

Final score

276315

Prediction missed · off by 137.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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