PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

273.92 – 114.74

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

196 – 126

Prediction correct · off by 44.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 522.4 ±9.9

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 137.94Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1033810338 - CircuitMakers

Season APEX 32Event APEX 5.7Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 130.28Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 333.2 ±11.7

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 26.83Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 50.23Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7514EVE Robotics

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 37.68Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1771, 10338, 4188

/ 100 compat

Projected

273.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1771, 10338, 4188

Auto

56.4 20%

Teleop

147.8 53%

Endgame

75.0 27%

Strengths

· 1771 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8080, 6925, 7514

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8080, 6925, 7514

Auto

16.3 14%

Teleop

82.9 71%

Endgame

17.7 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.26 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score273.9pts

Blue projected score114.7pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 159.2
Score range: 89–300
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 322 vs event baseline 141.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

522.4Season APEX333.2

56.4Auto16.3

147.8Teleop82.9

75Endgame17.7

153Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	10
teleop	108	67
endgame	43	49
foul	0	0
total	196	126

Result

Final score

196 – 126

Prediction correct · off by 44.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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