PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

73.17 – 50.84

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

78 – 118

Prediction missed · off by 36 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 283.2 ±9.3

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 42.46Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 22.09Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX 8.62Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 147.7 ±11.6

4701Warriors (Team W.I.R.E.)

Season APEX 20.1Event APEX -3.35Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 42.72Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5828Flying Riots

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 11.47Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1648, 11214, 5109

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1648, 11214, 5109

Auto

-1.3 0%

Teleop

49.3 70%

Endgame

22.7 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4701, 6023, 5828

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4701, 6023, 5828

Auto

16.7 37%

Teleop

38.1 83%

Endgame

-9.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score73.2pts

Blue projected score50.8pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 22.3
Score range: 25–99
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 196 vs event baseline 144.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

283.2Season APEX147.7

-1.3Auto16.7

49.3Teleop38.1

22.7Endgame-9.1

40Consistency120

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	15
teleop	39	61
endgame	18	37
foul	0	5
total	78	118

Result

Final score

78 – 118

Prediction missed · off by 36 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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