PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

227.12 – 6.82

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

185 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 54.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 364.1 ±9.8

6910Mill Creek Steel Talons

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 59.59Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 128.84Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8736The Mechanisms

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 38.69Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 117 ±12.7

7538Metal Mountain

Season APEX 26.2Event APEX -5.13Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4240TroTek Warriors

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX -6.86Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8100Grayson Robotics

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 18.81Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6910, 1261, 8736

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6910, 1261, 8736

Auto

46.1 20%

Teleop

120.5 54%

Endgame

58.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7538, 4240, 8100

/ 100 compat

Projected

6.8 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7538, 4240, 8100

Auto

36.8 100%

Teleop

-19.8 0%

Endgame

-12.8 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.38 · Blue 0.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score227.1pts

Blue projected score6.8pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 220.3
Score range: -19–253
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 258 vs event baseline 144.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

364.1Season APEX117

46.1Auto36.8

120.5Teleop-19.8

58.4Endgame-12.8

0Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	22
teleop	97	28
endgame	40	23
foul	5	0
total	185	73

Result

Final score

185 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 54.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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