Qualification · Qualification 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
133.17 – 163.62
41%59%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
139 – 179
Prediction correct · off by 10.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 314.4 ±11.7
Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 16.97Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 65.2Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 51Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 324 ±10.5
Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 30.78Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 20.1Event APEX 9.47Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 123.37Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4240, 8866, 6925
58
/ 100 compatProjected
133.2 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 4240, 8866, 6925
Auto
27.8 22%
Teleop
70.4 55%
Endgame
30.0 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8080, 4701, 4188
69
/ 100 compatProjected
163.6 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 8080, 4701, 4188
Auto
36.9 24%
Teleop
84.5 54%
Endgame
34.7 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.65
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score133.2pts
Blue projected score163.6pts
Red win probability41%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -30.5
- Score range
- 105–192
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
314.4Season APEX324
27.8Auto36.9
70.4Teleop84.5
30Endgame34.7
19Consistency56
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 10 | 41 |
| teleop | 89 | 106 |
| endgame | 40 | 32 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 139 | 179 |
Result
Final score
139 – 179
Prediction correct · off by 10.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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