PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

120.57 – 182.6

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

153 – 315

Prediction correct · off by 82.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 236.6 ±12.2

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 66.1Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4730Terminators

Season APEX 34.1Event APEX 33.83Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5074RoboMustangs

Season APEX 31Event APEX 20.64Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 449.5 ±9.8

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 32.05Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 43.82Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 106.73Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6925, 4730, 5074

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6925, 4730, 5074

Auto

11.0 10%

Teleop

69.2 62%

Endgame

30.9 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8866, 3091, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8866, 3091, 1771

Auto

31.3 17%

Teleop

90.5 48%

Endgame

65.9 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.18 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score120.6pts

Blue projected score182.6pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -62
Score range: 96–208
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 468 vs event baseline 139.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

236.6Season APEX449.5

11Auto31.3

69.2Teleop90.5

30.9Endgame65.9

104Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	71
teleop	78	197
endgame	51	47
foul	10	0
total	153	315

Result

Final score

153 – 315

Prediction correct · off by 82.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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