PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

90.78 – 61.61

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

100 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 11.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 292.6 ±10.5

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 63.15Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4701Warriors (Team W.I.R.E.)

Season APEX 20.1Event APEX -6.22Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 33.85Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 192.3 ±10.5

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 27.46Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5828Flying Riots

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX -2.75Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 36.9Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6919, 4701, 6905

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6919, 4701, 6905

Auto

23.5 29%

Teleop

48.7 59%

Endgame

10.2 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11214, 5828, 3635

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11214, 5828, 3635

Auto

20.0 37%

Teleop

23.4 43%

Endgame

10.8 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.8pts

Blue projected score61.6pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 29.2
Score range: 36–117
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 176 vs event baseline 142.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

292.6Season APEX192.3

23.5Auto20

48.7Teleop23.4

10.2Endgame10.8

14Consistency89

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	16
teleop	57	44
endgame	1	16
foul	0	0
total	100	76

Result

Final score

100 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 11.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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