PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.01 – 260.65

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

26 – 260

Prediction correct · off by 18.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 173.4 ±12.8

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 42.13Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7104The Bot Brothers

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 12.31Rank 28Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4240TroTek Warriors

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 7.57Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 384.6 ±11.2

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 155.81Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7514EVE Robotics

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 39.42Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6910Mill Creek Steel Talons

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 65.42Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6023, 7104, 4240

/ 100 compat

Projected

62 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6023, 7104, 4240

Auto

26.3 57%

Teleop

35.0 76%

Endgame

-15.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1002, 7514, 6910

/ 100 compat

Projected

260.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1002, 7514, 6910

Auto

59.3 22%

Teleop

144.6 54%

Endgame

64.5 24%

Strengths

· 1002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.57 · Blue 2.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score62pts

Blue projected score260.7pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -198.6
Score range: 36–287
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 286 vs event baseline 142.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

173.4Season APEX384.6

26.3Auto59.3

35Teleop144.6

-15.1Endgame64.5

206Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	56
teleop	2	163
endgame	8	41
foul	0	0
total	26	260

Result

Final score

26 – 260

Prediction correct · off by 18.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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