PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

64.56 – 123.72

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

91 – 230

Prediction correct · off by 66.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 167.8 ±11.1

1033810338 - CircuitMakers

Season APEX 32Event APEX 5.75Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8100Grayson Robotics

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 10.84Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 47.97Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 373.1 ±9.8

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 8.7Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5109Gladiator Robotics

Season APEX 68.3Event APEX -7.8Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 122.82Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10338, 8100, 9477

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10338, 8100, 9477

Auto

18.1 32%

Teleop

28.4 51%

Endgame

9.5 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8866, 5109, 4188

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8866, 5109, 4188

Auto

29.2 23%

Teleop

64.9 51%

Endgame

34.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 1.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score64.6pts

Blue projected score123.7pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -59.2
Score range: 40–149
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 321 vs event baseline 141.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

167.8Season APEX373.1

18.1Auto29.2

28.4Teleop64.9

9.5Endgame34.4

108Consistency198

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	24
teleop	31	159
endgame	23	42
foul	0	5
total	91	230

Result

Final score

91 – 230

Prediction correct · off by 66.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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