PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

169.65 – 129.13

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

253 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 83.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 406.8 ±10.7

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX 21.88Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4730Terminators

Season APEX 34.1Event APEX 25.69Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 122.08Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 199.4 ±11

8080Sequoyah High School Robotics

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 51.97Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8736The Mechanisms

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 63.9Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7538Metal Mountain

Season APEX 26.2Event APEX 13.26Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1648, 4730, 1261

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1648, 4730, 1261

Auto

19.5 12%

Teleop

111.2 68%

Endgame

33.1 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8080, 8736, 7538

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8080, 8736, 7538

Auto

53.7 45%

Teleop

59.2 49%

Endgame

7.4 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.77 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score169.7pts

Blue projected score129.1pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 40.5
Score range: 104–195
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 298 vs event baseline 141.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

406.8Season APEX199.4

19.5Auto53.7

111.2Teleop59.2

33.1Endgame7.4

90Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	25
teleop	149	12
endgame	62	8
foul	10	0
total	253	45

Result

Final score

253 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 83.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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