PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

205.34 – 101.84

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

251 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 55.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 415.5 ±9.8

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 30.84Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3091100 Scholars

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 26.1Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 148.4Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 382.8 ±9.9

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX -3.16Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5074RoboMustangs

Season APEX 31Event APEX 21.04Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 83.96Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3635, 3091, 1002

/ 100 compat

Projected

205.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3635, 3091, 1002

Auto

36.2 17%

Teleop

126.3 61%

Endgame

45.4 22%

Strengths

· 1002 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11214, 5074, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11214, 5074, 1771

Auto

28.4 30%

Teleop

29.7 31%

Endgame

37.7 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.14 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score205.3pts

Blue projected score101.8pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 103.5
Score range: 78–229
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 418 vs event baseline 135.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

415.5Season APEX382.8

36.2Auto28.4

126.3Teleop29.7

45.4Endgame37.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	20
teleop	120	82
endgame	72	65
foul	0	0
total	251	167

Result

Final score

251 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 55.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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