PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

129.42 – 138.91

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

75 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 31.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 230.2 ±11.6

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 80.4Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4701Warriors (Team W.I.R.E.)

Season APEX 20.1Event APEX 17.03Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8100Grayson Robotics

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 31.99Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 215.7 ±9.8

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 51.08Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 43.76Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 44.07Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6925, 4701, 8100

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6925, 4701, 8100

Auto

11.6 9%

Teleop

87.5 66%

Endgame

33.4 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6905, 9477, 6023

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6905, 9477, 6023

Auto

19.6 14%

Teleop

85.1 63%

Endgame

30.5 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.33 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score129.4pts

Blue projected score138.9pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -9.5
Score range: 104–164
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 206 vs event baseline 138.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

230.2Season APEX215.7

11.6Auto19.6

87.5Teleop85.1

33.4Endgame30.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	19
teleop	57	73
endgame	9	9
foul	0	30
total	75	131

Result

Final score

75 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 31.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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