Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

158.1944.41

80%20%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

86117

Prediction missed · off by 72.4 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 180.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 21.66Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 92.09Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 44.44Rank 28Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 185.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 34.1Event APEX 4.74Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 55.48Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.3Event APEX -15.81Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8866, 6910, 7104
72
/ 100 compat
Projected
158.2 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 8866, 6910, 7104
Auto
23.4 15%
Teleop
95.8 59%
Endgame
42.1 26%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4730, 8736, 5109
29
/ 100 compat
Projected
44.4 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 4730, 8736, 5109
Auto
25.5 57%
Teleop
20.8 47%
Endgame
-1.8 0%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 0.84
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score158.2pts
Blue projected score44.4pts
Red win probability80%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
113.8
Score range
18184
Upset likelihood
20%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 203 vs event baseline 142.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

180.8Season APEX185.8
23.4Auto25.5
95.8Teleop20.8
42.1Endgame-1.8
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto3532
teleop3659
endgame1521
foul05
total86117

Result

Final score

86117

Prediction missed · off by 72.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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