PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

40.84 – 188.67

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

99 – 265

Prediction correct · off by 67.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 164.5 ±11.6

8736The Mechanisms

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 28.84Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1033810338 - CircuitMakers

Season APEX 32Event APEX -0.1Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5828Flying Riots

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 12.1Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 363.7 ±9.8

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 127.21Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 37.26Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6910Mill Creek Steel Talons

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX 24.2Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8736, 10338, 5828

/ 100 compat

Projected

40.8 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8736, 10338, 5828

Auto

18.9 49%

Teleop

4.4 11%

Endgame

15.1 39%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1771, 6905, 6910

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1771, 6905, 6910

Auto

44.0 24%

Teleop

102.1 55%

Endgame

39.5 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.64 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score40.8pts

Blue projected score188.7pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -147.8
Score range: 13–217
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 364 vs event baseline 152.9.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

164.5Season APEX363.7

18.9Auto44

4.4Teleop102.1

15.1Endgame39.5

39Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	60
teleop	45	132
endgame	20	73
foul	0	0
total	99	265

Result

Final score

99 – 265

Prediction correct · off by 67.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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