PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

269.9 – 300.69

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

205 – 322

Prediction correct · off by 43.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 565.9 ±8.7

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 14.66Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 125.77Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 129.47Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 546.9 ±9.9

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 116.59Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5828Flying Riots

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 10.62Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 173.48Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11214, 4188, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

269.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 11214, 4188, 1771

Auto

60.3 22%

Teleop

151.9 56%

Endgame

56.7 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6919, 5828, 1002

/ 100 compat

Projected

300.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6919, 5828, 1002

Auto

68.8 24%

Teleop

148.1 51%

Endgame

74.8 26%

Strengths

· 1002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score269.9pts

Blue projected score300.7pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -30.8
Score range: 243–328
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 527 vs event baseline 151.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

565.9Season APEX546.9

60.3Auto68.8

151.9Teleop148.1

56.7Endgame74.8

1Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	63
teleop	94	149
endgame	83	80
foul	5	30
total	205	322

Result

Final score

205 – 322

Prediction correct · off by 43.1 pts

Match videos

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