PCH District Albany Event presented by Procter & Gamble

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

252.08 – 319.75

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

399 – 403

Prediction correct · off by 115.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 565.9 ±8.7

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 8.19Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 119.89Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 124Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 537.8 ±9.3

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 113.96Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 35.43Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 170.36Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11214, 4188, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

252.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 11214, 4188, 1771

Auto

57.6 23%

Teleop

141.1 56%

Endgame

52.8 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6919, 6905, 1002

/ 100 compat

Projected

319.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6919, 6905, 1002

Auto

68.1 22%

Teleop

163.6 53%

Endgame

74.6 24%

Strengths

· 1002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.06 · Blue 1.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score252.1pts

Blue projected score319.8pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -67.7
Score range: 225–347
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 802 vs event baseline 147.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

565.9Season APEX537.8

57.6Auto68.1

141.1Teleop163.6

52.8Endgame74.6

12Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	80	83
teleop	230	214
endgame	84	71
foul	5	35
total	399	403

Result

Final score

399 – 403

Prediction correct · off by 115.1 pts

Match videos

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