Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

209.48 – 240.71

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

151 – 247

Prediction correct · off by 32.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 415.6 ±15.1

4707FORCE

Season APEX 80.9Event APEX 34.51Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 91.11Rank 10Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

79Team 79 Krunch

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 83.86Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 420.9 ±13.1

5410Eaglebotics

Season APEX 119.1Event APEX 45.28Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11138TEKNOROB

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 70.46Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 79

3932The Dirty Mechanics

Season APEX 201.3Event APEX 124.97Rank 8Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4707, 48, 79

/ 100 compat

Projected

209.5 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 4707, 48, 79

Auto

49.4 24%

Teleop

115.9 55%

Endgame

44.8 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5410, 11138, 3932

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.7 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 5410, 11138, 3932

Auto

43.5 19%

Teleop

132.6 59%

Endgame

50.5 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score209.5pts

Blue projected score240.7pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -31.2
Score range: 180–270
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 398 vs event baseline 160.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

415.6Season APEX420.9

49.4Auto43.5

115.9Teleop132.6

44.8Endgame50.5

25Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	47
teleop	61	150
endgame	57	50
foul	0	0
total	151	247

Result

Final score

151 – 247

Prediction correct · off by 32.4 pts

Match videos

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