Qualification · Qualification 78

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

343.67 – 294.46

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

398 – 205

Prediction correct · off by 71.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 518 ±11.7

1523MARS (Mega Awesome Robotic Systems)

Season APEX 66Event APEX 18.15Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

180S.P.A.M.

Season APEX 250.7Event APEX 208.7Rank 1Record 9-0-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3932The Dirty Mechanics

Season APEX 201.3Event APEX 116.82Rank 8Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 367 ±15.1

108SigmaC@T Robotics Team

Season APEX 168.6Event APEX 166.36Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8817Buccaneer Robotics

Season APEX 159.5Event APEX 115.97Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10424ANKA ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 38.9Event APEX 12.13Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1523, 180, 3932

/ 100 compat

Projected

343.7 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 1523, 180, 3932

Auto

69.8 21%

Teleop

187.5 57%

Endgame

72.7 22%

Strengths

· 180 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 108, 8817, 10424

/ 100 compat

Projected

294.5 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 108, 8817, 10424

Auto

49.3 17%

Teleop

164.1 58%

Endgame

70.5 25%

Strengths

· 108 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.91 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score343.7pts

Blue projected score294.5pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 49.2
Score range: 266–372
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 603 vs event baseline 154.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

518Season APEX367

69.8Auto49.3

187.5Teleop164.1

72.7Endgame70.5

79Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	87	43
teleop	182	115
endgame	129	47
foul	0	0
total	398	205

Result

Final score

398 – 205

Prediction correct · off by 71.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.