Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

257.12 – 75.8

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

399 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 75.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 534.9 ±13.5

9155New Tech Kraken

Season APEX 78Event APEX 23.29Rank 11Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 77

59RamTech

Season APEX 236.3Event APEX 158.74Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 75.09Rank 10Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 274.5 ±16

8791Mighty Patriots

Provisional

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 18.46Rank 27Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2641Pittsburgh Central Catholic Robotics

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 30.96Rank 42Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5557BB-R8ERS

Season APEX 144.3Event APEX 26.38Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9155, 59, 48

/ 100 compat

Projected

257.1 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9155, 59, 48

Auto

57.4 22%

Teleop

149.7 58%

Endgame

50.8 20%

Strengths

· 59 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8791, 2641, 5557

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.8 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 8791, 2641, 5557

Auto

25.4 34%

Teleop

43.3 57%

Endgame

6.8 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.5 · Blue 0.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score257.1pts

Blue projected score75.8pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 181.3
Score range: 48–285
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 484 vs event baseline 155.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

534.9Season APEX274.5

57.4Auto25.4

149.7Teleop43.3

50.8Endgame6.8

33Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	77	12
teleop	237	58
endgame	85	15
foul	0	0
total	399	85

Result

Final score

399 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 75.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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