Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

61.46 – 147.82

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

135 – 117

Prediction missed · off by 52.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 340.6 ±18.6

7403Lightning Blue Lizards

Season APEX 220Event APEX 13.81Rank 24Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

7570New Tech

Provisional

Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 13.49Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6743Tiger Engineering

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 34.16Rank 14Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 295.3 ±15.6

79Team 79 Krunch

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 85.27Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1744Robo-Rays Robotics

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 35.7Rank 18Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

3627The Jungle Robotics

Season APEX 84.5Event APEX 26.85Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7403, 7570, 6743

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.5 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 7403, 7570, 6743

Auto

22.2 40%

Teleop

20.7 37%

Endgame

13.2 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 79, 1744, 3627

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.8 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 79, 1744, 3627

Auto

26.4 19%

Teleop

76.2 54%

Endgame

38.5 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score61.5pts

Blue projected score147.8pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -86.4
Score range: 33–176
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 252 vs event baseline 156.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

340.6Season APEX295.3

22.2Auto26.4

20.7Teleop76.2

13.2Endgame38.5

83Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	34
teleop	67	57
endgame	46	26
foul	0	0
total	135	117

Result

Final score

135 – 117

Prediction missed · off by 52.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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