Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

81.77 – 258.37

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

77 – 347

Prediction correct · off by 46.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 207.5 ±16.5

2641Pittsburgh Central Catholic Robotics

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 33.36Rank 42Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1523MARS (Mega Awesome Robotic Systems)

Season APEX 66Event APEX 19.73Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11474SEED Bulldogs Byte!

Provisional

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 28.68Rank 38Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 439.1 ±17.3

39544-H Electrotechs

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 35.48Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

180S.P.A.M.

Season APEX 250.7Event APEX 204.96Rank 1Record 9-0-1Status establishedConfidence 100

10616Iron Eagle Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 17.93Rank 23Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2641, 1523, 11474

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.8 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 2641, 1523, 11474

Auto

20.0 27%

Teleop

43.2 59%

Endgame

10.5 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3954, 180, 10616

/ 100 compat

Projected

258.4 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 3954, 180, 10616

Auto

74.8 29%

Teleop

134.5 53%

Endgame

44.4 18%

Strengths

· 180 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score81.8pts

Blue projected score258.4pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -176.6
Score range: 54–286
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 424 vs event baseline 156.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

207.5Season APEX439.1

20Auto74.8

43.2Teleop134.5

10.5Endgame44.4

60Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	90
teleop	30	186
endgame	26	71
foul	0	0
total	77	347

Result

Final score

77 – 347

Prediction correct · off by 46.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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