Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

172.9 – 58.99

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

95 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 42 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 310 ±18

10424ANKA ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 38.9Event APEX 19.21Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8791Mighty Patriots

Provisional

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 27.65Rank 27Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3932The Dirty Mechanics

Season APEX 201.3Event APEX 126.04Rank 8Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 160 ±17

9040Sunset Robo Knights

Provisional

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 17.36Rank 44Record 2-7-1Status provisionalConfidence 73

1369Minotaur

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 24.72Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6404Brazilian Storm

Season APEX 50.1Event APEX 16.91Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10424, 8791, 3932

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.9 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 10424, 8791, 3932

Auto

35.5 21%

Teleop

88.8 52%

Endgame

45.2 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9040, 1369, 6404

/ 100 compat

Projected

59 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 9040, 1369, 6404

Auto

14.1 27%

Teleop

22.0 41%

Endgame

17.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score172.9pts

Blue projected score59pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 113.9
Score range: 31–201
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 160 vs event baseline 157.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

310Season APEX160

35.5Auto14.1

88.8Teleop22

45.2Endgame17.1

95Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	33
teleop	38	19
endgame	46	13
foul	0	0
total	95	65

Result

Final score

95 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 42 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.