Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

246.46 – 153.81

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

145 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 86.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 300.4 ±17.1

7652Miami Beach Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 67.9Event APEX 34.16Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

108SigmaC@T Robotics Team

Season APEX 168.6Event APEX 181.37Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5872Wiredcats

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 30.93Rank 37Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 372.6 ±15.8

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 84.16Rank 10Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

9779Gladiator Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 36.76Rank 43Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3627The Jungle Robotics

Season APEX 84.5Event APEX 32.89Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7652, 108, 5872

/ 100 compat

Projected

246.5 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7652, 108, 5872

Auto

38.0 16%

Teleop

136.7 56%

Endgame

68.3 28%

Strengths

· 108 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 48, 9779, 3627

/ 100 compat

Projected

153.8 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 48, 9779, 3627

Auto

34.6 24%

Teleop

71.8 49%

Endgame

40.7 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.1 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score246.5pts

Blue projected score153.8pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 92.7
Score range: 125–275
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 228 vs event baseline 159.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

300.4Season APEX372.6

38Auto34.6

136.7Teleop71.8

68.3Endgame40.7

18Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	14
teleop	71	32
endgame	45	17
foul	0	20
total	145	83

Result

Final score

145 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 86.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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