Qualification · Qualification 65
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
241.08 – 362.92
18%82%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
183 – 507
Prediction correct · off by 101.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 413.9 ±14.7
Season APEX 230Event APEX 90.01Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 76.51Rank 13Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9201TEAM FORCE
Provisional
Season APEX 84.4Event APEX 74.56Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 574 ±13.1
Season APEX 237.2Event APEX 155.79Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 59.1Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Season APEX 236.3Event APEX 148.03Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 179, 5472, 9201
78
/ 100 compatProjected
241.1 pts
~1.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 179, 5472, 9201
Auto
25.5 11%
Teleop
131.6 55%
Endgame
82.4 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2383, 11138, 59
81
/ 100 compatProjected
362.9 pts
~2.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 2383, 11138, 59
Auto
70.2 20%
Teleop
210.9 59%
Endgame
74.8 21%
Strengths
- · 2383 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.02 · Blue 2.39
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score241.1pts
Blue projected score362.9pts
Red win probability18%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 60%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -121.8
- Score range
- 213–391
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
413.9Season APEX574
25.5Auto70.2
131.6Teleop210.9
82.4Endgame74.8
40Consistency43
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 31 | 96 |
| teleop | 105 | 323 |
| endgame | 47 | 88 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 183 | 507 |
Result
Final score
183 – 507
Prediction correct · off by 101.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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