Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

219.28 – 119.23

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

226 – 155

Prediction correct · off by 21.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 400.8 ±16.2

11474SEED Bulldogs Byte!

Provisional

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 38.9Rank 38Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2152S*M*A*S*H

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 35.7Rank 41Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88

59RamTech

Season APEX 236.3Event APEX 144.68Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 221.3 ±18.8

8859Bora Robotics

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 71.12Rank 15Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7652Miami Beach Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 67.9Event APEX 31.44Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9040Sunset Robo Knights

Provisional

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 16.67Rank 44Record 2-7-1Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11474, 2152, 59

/ 100 compat

Projected

219.3 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 11474, 2152, 59

Auto

40.7 19%

Teleop

138.1 64%

Endgame

35.6 17%

Strengths

· 59 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8859, 7652, 9040

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.2 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 8859, 7652, 9040

Auto

16.5 15%

Teleop

43.4 39%

Endgame

52.8 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.2 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score219.3pts

Blue projected score119.2pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 100.1
Score range: 91–247
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 381 vs event baseline 156.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

400.8Season APEX221.3

40.7Auto16.5

138.1Teleop43.4

35.6Endgame52.8

30Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	25
teleop	136	92
endgame	52	38
foul	5	0
total	226	155

Result

Final score

226 – 155

Prediction correct · off by 21.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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