Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

102.43 – 109

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

85 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 18.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 198.4 ±16.7

5872Wiredcats

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 24.58Rank 37Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

7833FALCONS

Provisional

Season APEX 35Event APEX 8.89Rank 47Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5472The Wyld Stallyns

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 68.96Rank 13Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 205.9 ±19.2

7570New Tech

Provisional

Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 20.91Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10424ANKA ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 38.9Event APEX 4.74Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

79Team 79 Krunch

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 83.35Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5872, 7833, 5472

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.4 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 5872, 7833, 5472

Auto

23.1 23%

Teleop

36.9 37%

Endgame

39.9 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7570, 10424, 79

/ 100 compat

Projected

109 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 7570, 10424, 79

Auto

26.1 25%

Teleop

44.4 42%

Endgame

34.1 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score102.4pts

Blue projected score109pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -6.6
Score range: 70–141
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 174 vs event baseline 175.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

198.4Season APEX205.9

23.1Auto26.1

36.9Teleop44.4

39.9Endgame34.1

52Consistency119

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	27
teleop	33	45
endgame	39	17
foul	0	0
total	85	89

Result

Final score

85 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 18.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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