Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

135.63 – 127.02

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

210 – 174

Prediction correct · off by 60.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 292.6 ±17.4

9155New Tech Kraken

Season APEX 78Event APEX 0.09Rank 11Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 77

11138TEKNOROB

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 55.15Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 79

79Team 79 Krunch

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 80.39Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 226.7 ±18.8

9779Gladiator Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 33.61Rank 43Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10424ANKA ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 38.9Event APEX 14.47Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1592Bionic Tigers

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 78.94Rank 17Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9155, 11138, 79

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.6 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9155, 11138, 79

Auto

31.3 23%

Teleop

79.5 58%

Endgame

25.8 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9779, 10424, 1592

/ 100 compat

Projected

127 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9779, 10424, 1592

Auto

21.1 17%

Teleop

65.4 54%

Endgame

34.7 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score135.6pts

Blue projected score127pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 8.6
Score range: 99–164
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 384 vs event baseline 155.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

292.6Season APEX226.7

31.3Auto21.1

79.5Teleop65.4

25.8Endgame34.7

46Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	31
teleop	134	91
endgame	34	52
foul	0	0
total	210	174

Result

Final score

210 – 174

Prediction correct · off by 60.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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