Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

214.06 – 290.2

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

298 – 372

Prediction correct · off by 82.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 324.6 ±17.7

10635Merengue

Provisional

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 18.61Rank 28Record 4-5-1Status provisionalConfidence 73

39544-H Electrotechs

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 15.66Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

108SigmaC@T Robotics Team

Season APEX 168.6Event APEX 179.79Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 472.1 ±14.7

8817Buccaneer Robotics

Season APEX 159.5Event APEX 108.02Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11267MASAL

Provisional

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 35.06Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2383Ninjineers

Season APEX 237.2Event APEX 147.12Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10635, 3954, 108

/ 100 compat

Projected

214.1 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 10635, 3954, 108

Auto

52.4 24%

Teleop

126.9 58%

Endgame

37.9 17%

Strengths

· 108 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8817, 11267, 2383

/ 100 compat

Projected

290.2 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 8817, 11267, 2383

Auto

36.8 14%

Teleop

151.1 56%

Endgame

82.6 31%

Strengths

· 2383 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.19 · Blue 2.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score214.1pts

Blue projected score290.2pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -76.1
Score range: 187–317
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 670 vs event baseline 152.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

324.6Season APEX472.1

52.4Auto36.8

126.9Teleop151.1

37.9Endgame82.6

52Consistency101

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	58
teleop	140	220
endgame	86	89
foul	5	5
total	298	372

Result

Final score

298 – 372

Prediction correct · off by 82.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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