Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

196.35 – 58.61

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

204 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 8.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 439.2 ±9.8

5410Eaglebotics

Season APEX 119.1Event APEX 38.78Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 76.93Rank 10Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

5472The Wyld Stallyns

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 80.64Rank 13Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 193.1 ±19.2

6404Brazilian Storm

Season APEX 50.1Event APEX 14.25Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

11474SEED Bulldogs Byte!

Provisional

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 44.26Rank 38Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9494Hanabi

Provisional

Season APEX 61.9Event APEX 0.1Rank 40Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5410, 48, 5472

/ 100 compat

Projected

196.4 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 5410, 48, 5472

Auto

24.7 14%

Teleop

105.9 58%

Endgame

50.9 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6404, 11474, 9494

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.6 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6404, 11474, 9494

Auto

14.0 26%

Teleop

45.9 85%

Endgame

-6.0 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.32 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score196.4pts

Blue projected score58.6pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 137.7
Score range: 31–224
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 253 vs event baseline 153.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

439.2Season APEX193.1

24.7Auto14

105.9Teleop45.9

50.9Endgame-6

135Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	18
teleop	100	28
endgame	46	3
foul	0	0
total	204	49

Result

Final score

204 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 8.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.