Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

102.36 – 63.18

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

67 – 91

Prediction missed · off by 31.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 235 ±20.2

11267MASAL

Provisional

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 43.99Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7652Miami Beach Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 67.9Event APEX 44.89Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

39544-H Electrotechs

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 13.48Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 238.6 ±17.4

1744Robo-Rays Robotics

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 17.02Rank 18Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

5872Wiredcats

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 37.83Rank 37Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

9155New Tech Kraken

Season APEX 78Event APEX 8.33Rank 11Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11267, 7652, 3954

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.4 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 11267, 7652, 3954

Auto

27.3 26%

Teleop

44.7 42%

Endgame

33.5 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1744, 5872, 9155

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.2 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1744, 5872, 9155

Auto

10.7 18%

Teleop

18.2 30%

Endgame

31.3 52%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score102.4pts

Blue projected score63.2pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 39.2
Score range: 36–129
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 158 vs event baseline 150.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

235Season APEX238.6

27.3Auto10.7

44.7Teleop18.2

33.5Endgame31.3

76Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	26
teleop	3	37
endgame	30	28
foul	0	0
total	67	91

Result

Final score

67 – 91

Prediction missed · off by 31.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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