Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

89.78 – 178.1

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

152 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 38.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 242.6 ±18.1

11436CougarBots

Provisional

Season APEX 54.6Event APEX 10Rank 39Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1592Bionic Tigers

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 62.61Rank 17Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6743Tiger Engineering

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 17.17Rank 14Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 402.2 ±16.4

11138TEKNOROB

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 57.69Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 79

11474SEED Bulldogs Byte!

Provisional

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 40.23Rank 38Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 80.18Rank 10Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11436, 1592, 6743

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.8 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 11436, 1592, 6743

Auto

16.9 18%

Teleop

58.3 63%

Endgame

17.6 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11138, 11474, 48

/ 100 compat

Projected

178.1 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 11138, 11474, 48

Auto

36.6 21%

Teleop

106.2 61%

Endgame

31.5 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.1 · Blue 2.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score89.8pts

Blue projected score178.1pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -88.3
Score range: 63–205
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 316 vs event baseline 150.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

242.6Season APEX402.2

16.9Auto36.6

58.3Teleop106.2

17.6Endgame31.5

51Consistency79

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	40
teleop	73	118
endgame	55	6
foul	5	0
total	152	164

Result

Final score

152 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 38.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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