Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

100.69 – 225.36

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

122 – 400

Prediction correct · off by 98 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 231.7 ±17

1744Robo-Rays Robotics

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 17.96Rank 18Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

8859Bora Robotics

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 76.64Rank 15Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10424ANKA ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 38.9Event APEX 6.09Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 319.4 ±16.6

108SigmaC@T Robotics Team

Season APEX 168.6Event APEX 138.53Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4010PrepaTec - Nautilus

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 24.95Rank 30Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 91

9201TEAM FORCE

Provisional

Season APEX 84.4Event APEX 61.88Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1744, 8859, 10424

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.7 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 1744, 8859, 10424

Auto

17.6 19%

Teleop

52.9 56%

Endgame

23.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 108, 4010, 9201

/ 100 compat

Projected

225.4 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 108, 4010, 9201

Auto

27.4 12%

Teleop

133.8 59%

Endgame

64.6 29%

Strengths

· 108 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.07 · Blue 2.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score100.7pts

Blue projected score225.4pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -124.7
Score range: 74–252
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 522 vs event baseline 148.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

231.7Season APEX319.4

17.6Auto27.4

52.9Teleop133.8

23.9Endgame64.6

33Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	31
teleop	61	296
endgame	39	73
foul	0	0
total	122	400

Result

Final score

122 – 400

Prediction correct · off by 98 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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