Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

125.76 – 269.87

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

28 – 213

Prediction correct · off by 77.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 225.5 ±18.6

4010PrepaTec - Nautilus

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 41.89Rank 30Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 91

11474SEED Bulldogs Byte!

Provisional

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 58.53Rank 38Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9155New Tech Kraken

Season APEX 78Event APEX 25.34Rank 11Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 401.7 ±15.4

4707FORCE

Season APEX 80.9Event APEX 75.36Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

59RamTech

Season APEX 236.3Event APEX 147.04Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3627The Jungle Robotics

Season APEX 84.5Event APEX 47.47Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4010, 11474, 9155

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.8 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 4010, 11474, 9155

Auto

18.7 14%

Teleop

78.5 60%

Endgame

34.4 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4707, 59, 3627

/ 100 compat

Projected

269.9 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 4707, 59, 3627

Auto

67.1 25%

Teleop

130.1 48%

Endgame

71.4 27%

Strengths

· 59 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.9 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score125.8pts

Blue projected score269.9pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -144.1
Score range: 99–297
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 241 vs event baseline 151.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

225.5Season APEX401.7

18.7Auto67.1

78.5Teleop130.1

34.4Endgame71.4

90Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	53
teleop	5	111
endgame	10	44
foul	0	5
total	28	213

Result

Final score

28 – 213

Prediction correct · off by 77.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.