Qualification · Qualification 28
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
177.72 – 102.47
72%28%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
321 – 170
Prediction correct · off by 105.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 399.1 ±14.7
Season APEX 84.5Event APEX 25.61Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 13.64Rank 37Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80
Season APEX 250.7Event APEX 138.47Rank 1Record 9-0-1Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 286.2 ±16.5
8791Mighty Patriots
Provisional
Season APEX 69.8Event APEX -6.01Rank 27Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 49.46Rank 15Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 59.02Rank 17Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3627, 5872, 180
65
/ 100 compatProjected
177.7 pts
~2.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 3627, 5872, 180
Auto
40.6 24%
Teleop
111.2 65%
Endgame
18.8 11%
Strengths
- · 180 anchors offense
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8791, 8859, 1592
47
/ 100 compatProjected
102.5 pts
~1.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 8791, 8859, 1592
Auto
13.2 13%
Teleop
57.7 57%
Endgame
30.0 30%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.24
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score177.7pts
Blue projected score102.5pts
Red win probability72%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 75.3
- Score range
- 75–205
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
399.1Season APEX286.2
40.6Auto13.2
111.2Teleop57.7
18.8Endgame30
69Consistency55
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 68 | 21 |
| teleop | 153 | 127 |
| endgame | 70 | 22 |
| foul | 30 | 0 |
| total | 321 | 170 |
Result
Final score
321 – 170
Prediction correct · off by 105.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.