Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

265.76 – 59.46

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

241 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 32.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 341.5 ±16.2

7652Miami Beach Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 67.9Event APEX 52.37Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8817Buccaneer Robotics

Season APEX 159.5Event APEX 128.96Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

79Team 79 Krunch

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 84.43Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 229.1 ±15

4010PrepaTec - Nautilus

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 43.66Rank 30Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 91

1523MARS (Mega Awesome Robotic Systems)

Season APEX 66Event APEX -16.43Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1744Robo-Rays Robotics

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 32.23Rank 18Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7652, 8817, 79

/ 100 compat

Projected

265.8 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7652, 8817, 79

Auto

34.1 13%

Teleop

150.2 57%

Endgame

80.2 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4010, 1523, 1744

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.5 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 4010, 1523, 1744

Auto

8.1 17%

Teleop

24.0 51%

Endgame

14.7 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.53 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score265.8pts

Blue projected score59.5pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 206.3
Score range: 32–293
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 341 vs event baseline 147.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

341.5Season APEX229.1

34.1Auto8.1

150.2Teleop24

80.2Endgame14.7

81Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	23
teleop	131	45
endgame	65	32
foul	15	0
total	241	100

Result

Final score

241 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 32.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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