Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

96.2 – 106.28

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

54 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 39.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 163.2 ±17.5

5872Wiredcats

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 17.24Rank 37Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

10424ANKA ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 38.9Event APEX 11.64Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2641Pittsburgh Central Catholic Robotics

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 67.32Rank 42Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 424.9 ±14.1

7403Lightning Blue Lizards

Season APEX 220Event APEX 107.81Rank 24Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

10323DeMolay Dynamics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX -41.75Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

5410Eaglebotics

Season APEX 119.1Event APEX 40.22Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5872, 10424, 2641

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.2 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 5872, 10424, 2641

Auto

31.4 31%

Teleop

44.5 43%

Endgame

26.6 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7403, 10323, 5410

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.3 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7403, 10323, 5410

Auto

27.3 27%

Teleop

54.3 53%

Endgame

21.3 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score96.2pts

Blue projected score106.3pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -10.1
Score range: 68–134
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 124 vs event baseline 154.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

163.2Season APEX424.9

31.4Auto27.3

44.5Teleop54.3

26.6Endgame21.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	14
teleop	16	19
endgame	23	37
foul	0	0
total	54	70

Result

Final score

54 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 39.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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