Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

104.75 – 104.37

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

161 – 271

Prediction missed · off by 111.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 264.7 ±18.1

7652Miami Beach Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 67.9Event APEX 45.07Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1592Bionic Tigers

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 42.47Rank 17Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

8581PizzaByte Robotics

Season APEX 76.5Event APEX 17.21Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 379.7 ±16.2

3932The Dirty Mechanics

Season APEX 201.3Event APEX 71.13Rank 8Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10635Merengue

Provisional

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX -4.31Rank 28Record 4-5-1Status provisionalConfidence 73

79Team 79 Krunch

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 37.55Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7652, 1592, 8581

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.8 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 7652, 1592, 8581

Auto

7.4 7%

Teleop

65.7 60%

Endgame

37.0 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3932, 10635, 79

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.4 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 3932, 10635, 79

Auto

27.7 31%

Teleop

60.2 68%

Endgame

0.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score104.8pts

Blue projected score104.4pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0.4
Score range: 77–132
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 432 vs event baseline 148.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

264.7Season APEX379.7

7.4Auto27.7

65.7Teleop60.2

37Endgame0.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	43
teleop	83	156
endgame	58	72
foul	0	0
total	161	271

Result

Final score

161 – 271

Prediction missed · off by 111.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.