Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

215.77 – 182.11

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

335 – 77

Prediction correct · off by 112.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 440.8 ±15.1

2383Ninjineers

Season APEX 237.2Event APEX 109.03Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7833FALCONS

Provisional

Season APEX 35Event APEX 13.07Rank 47Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

108SigmaC@T Robotics Team

Season APEX 168.6Event APEX 93.67Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 267 ±18

1744Robo-Rays Robotics

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 69.52Rank 18Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

8791Mighty Patriots

Provisional

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 39.55Rank 27Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

11138TEKNOROB

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 73.04Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2383, 7833, 108

/ 100 compat

Projected

215.8 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2383, 7833, 108

Auto

21.0 10%

Teleop

145.6 66%

Endgame

53.0 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1744, 8791, 11138

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.1 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 1744, 8791, 11138

Auto

23.6 14%

Teleop

107.8 64%

Endgame

37.2 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.79 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score215.8pts

Blue projected score182.1pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 33.7
Score range: 156–242
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 412 vs event baseline 145.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

440.8Season APEX267

21Auto23.6

145.6Teleop107.8

53Endgame37.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	34
teleop	176	31
endgame	85	7
foul	0	5
total	335	77

Result

Final score

335 – 77

Prediction correct · off by 112.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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