Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

371.9 – 401.84

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

359 – 435

Prediction correct · off by 23 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 482.5 ±11.6

9404Forge

Season APEX 76.7Event APEX 39.59Rank 36Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2383Ninjineers

Season APEX 237.2Event APEX 173.27Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

108SigmaC@T Robotics Team

Season APEX 168.6Event APEX 159.04Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 553 ±11.7

180S.P.A.M.

Season APEX 250.7Event APEX 210.16Rank 1Record 9-0-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1523MARS (Mega Awesome Robotic Systems)

Season APEX 66Event APEX 20.32Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

59RamTech

Season APEX 236.3Event APEX 171.36Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9404, 2383, 108

/ 100 compat

Projected

371.9 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9404, 2383, 108

Auto

68.7 19%

Teleop

218.5 59%

Endgame

82.4 22%

Strengths

· 2383 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 180, 1523, 59

/ 100 compat

Projected

401.8 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 180, 1523, 59

Auto

88.8 22%

Teleop

216.6 54%

Endgame

93.5 23%

Strengths

· 180 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score371.9pts

Blue projected score401.8pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -29.9
Score range: 341–433
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 794 vs event baseline 170.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

482.5Season APEX553

68.7Auto88.8

218.5Teleop216.6

82.4Endgame93.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	107
teleop	202	236
endgame	91	92
foul	0	0
total	359	435

Result

Final score

359 – 435

Prediction correct · off by 23 pts

Match videos

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