Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

388.8 – 289.49

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

452 – 247

Prediction correct · off by 52.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 715.6 ±11.2

10162Viking Robotics

Season APEX 183.7Event APEX -11.24Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6647PrepaTec - VOLTEC

Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 185.79Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2992The S.S. Prometheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 214.25Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 380.6 ±13.9

6184C4 (Capital City Chaotic Coders)

Season APEX 111.5Event APEX 81.19Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8841OTTER

Season APEX 127.7Event APEX 115.58Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

86Team Resistance

Season APEX 141.4Event APEX 92.72Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10162, 6647, 2992

/ 100 compat

Projected

388.8 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 10162, 6647, 2992

Auto

94.6 25%

Teleop

222.7 58%

Endgame

68.8 18%

Strengths

· 2992 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6184, 8841, 86

/ 100 compat

Projected

289.5 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 6184, 8841, 86

Auto

35.9 13%

Teleop

166.1 58%

Endgame

83.5 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.22 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score388.8pts

Blue projected score289.5pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 99.3
Score range: 255–423
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 699 vs event baseline 187.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

715.6Season APEX380.6

94.6Auto35.9

222.7Teleop166.1

68.8Endgame83.5

24Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	88	43
teleop	257	137
endgame	107	67
foul	0	0
total	452	247

Result

Final score

452 – 247

Prediction correct · off by 52.8 pts

Match videos

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