Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

398.16 – 229.19

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

384 – 267

Prediction correct · off by 26 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 715.6 ±11.2

10162Viking Robotics

Season APEX 183.7Event APEX -7.16Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6647PrepaTec - VOLTEC

Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 188.61Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2992The S.S. Prometheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 216.71Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 354.8 ±15.8

7130Future Shock

Season APEX 131.5Event APEX 75.66Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

4013Clockwork Mania

Season APEX 109.2Event APEX 88.45Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8324MECO Robotics

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 65.08Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10162, 6647, 2992

/ 100 compat

Projected

398.2 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 10162, 6647, 2992

Auto

88.9 22%

Teleop

236.6 60%

Endgame

70.7 18%

Strengths

· 2992 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7130, 4013, 8324

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.2 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 7130, 4013, 8324

Auto

46.3 21%

Teleop

135.5 61%

Endgame

39.5 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score398.2pts

Blue projected score229.2pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 169
Score range: 197–430
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 651 vs event baseline 178.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

715.6Season APEX354.8

88.9Auto46.3

236.6Teleop135.5

70.7Endgame39.5

17Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	113	33
teleop	194	151
endgame	72	68
foul	5	15
total	384	267

Result

Final score

384 – 267

Prediction correct · off by 26 pts

Match videos

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