Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

273.43 – 323.27

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

295 – 343

Prediction correct · off by 20.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 354.8 ±15.8

7130Future Shock

Season APEX 131.5Event APEX 90.06Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

4013Clockwork Mania

Season APEX 109.2Event APEX 105.62Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8324MECO Robotics

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 77.75Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 478 ±11.6

233The Pink Team

Season APEX 212.2Event APEX 175.48Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5816Gra-V Robotics

Season APEX 65.6Event APEX 2.87Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

364Team Fusion 364

Season APEX 200.2Event APEX 144.92Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7130, 4013, 8324

/ 100 compat

Projected

273.4 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 7130, 4013, 8324

Auto

47.7 18%

Teleop

162.1 61%

Endgame

56.5 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 233, 5816, 364

/ 100 compat

Projected

323.3 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 233, 5816, 364

Auto

55.5 17%

Teleop

180.8 56%

Endgame

84.7 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score273.4pts

Blue projected score323.3pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -49.8
Score range: 237–359
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 638 vs event baseline 198.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

354.8Season APEX478

47.7Auto55.5

162.1Teleop180.8

56.5Endgame84.7

40Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	81
teleop	141	184
endgame	96	78
foul	0	0
total	295	343

Result

Final score

295 – 343

Prediction correct · off by 20.7 pts

Match videos

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