Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

320.85 – 254.23

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

274 – 371

Prediction missed · off by 81.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 393.5 ±12.9

386Team Voltage

Season APEX 199Event APEX 141.43Rank 17Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6722LED Robotics

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 72.82Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

5410Eaglebotics

Season APEX 119.1Event APEX 106.6Rank 9Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 354.8 ±15.8

7130Future Shock

Season APEX 131.5Event APEX 83.26Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

4013Clockwork Mania

Season APEX 109.2Event APEX 99.36Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8324MECO Robotics

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 71.61Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 386, 6722, 5410

/ 100 compat

Projected

320.9 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 386, 6722, 5410

Auto

41.9 13%

Teleop

185.7 59%

Endgame

88.5 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7130, 4013, 8324

/ 100 compat

Projected

254.2 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 7130, 4013, 8324

Auto

43.4 18%

Teleop

150.2 61%

Endgame

52.2 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.15 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score320.9pts

Blue projected score254.2pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 66.6
Score range: 219–356
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 645 vs event baseline 194.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

393.5Season APEX354.8

41.9Auto43.4

185.7Teleop150.2

88.5Endgame52.2

1Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	70
teleop	140	223
endgame	98	78
foul	0	0
total	274	371

Result

Final score

274 – 371

Prediction missed · off by 81.8 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.