Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

89.75 – 89.75

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

248 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 123.8 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 438.8 ±15.2

9627Yellow Haze

Provisional

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX -Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

6647PrepaTec - VOLTEC

Season APEX 267.2Event APEX -Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5472The Wyld Stallyns

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX -Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 294.1 ±14.5

6473Rock Star Robotics

Season APEX 53.7Event APEX -Rank 43Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 86

108SigmaC@T Robotics Team

Season APEX 168.6Event APEX -Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10981Jo-Bees

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX -Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 86

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9627, 6647, 5472

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.8 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9627, 6647, 5472

Auto

26.9 30%

Teleop

44.9 50%

Endgame

18.0 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6473, 108, 10981

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.8 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6473, 108, 10981

Auto

26.9 30%

Teleop

44.9 50%

Endgame

18.0 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.65 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score89.8pts

Blue projected score89.8pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 58–122
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 427 vs event baseline 179.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

438.8Season APEX294.1

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	59
teleop	137	99
endgame	80	21
foul	0	0
total	248	179

Result

Final score

248 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 123.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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