Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

97.52 – 350.41

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

68 – 410

Prediction correct · off by 44.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 201.7 ±16.9

5472The Wyld Stallyns

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 37Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9313ROBOhana

Season APEX 83Event APEX 46.28Rank 31Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 86

9493TechWasps923

Provisional

Season APEX 19.2Event APEX 14.24Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 495.8 ±11.2

6647PrepaTec - VOLTEC

Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 181.33Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5410Eaglebotics

Season APEX 119.1Event APEX 97.35Rank 9Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10219Bathtub Chickens

Season APEX 109.5Event APEX 71.73Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5472, 9313, 9493

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.5 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 5472, 9313, 9493

Auto

16.4 18%

Teleop

35.3 39%

Endgame

38.0 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6647, 5410, 10219

/ 100 compat

Projected

350.4 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 6647, 5410, 10219

Auto

65.3 19%

Teleop

187.5 55%

Endgame

90.0 26%

Strengths

· 6647 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.57 · Blue 2.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score97.5pts

Blue projected score350.4pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -252.9
Score range: 66–382
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 478 vs event baseline 178.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

201.7Season APEX495.8

16.4Auto65.3

35.3Teleop187.5

38Endgame90

53Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	82
teleop	20	244
endgame	34	84
foul	0	0
total	68	410

Result

Final score

68 – 410

Prediction correct · off by 44.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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