Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

331.38 – 157.35

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

357 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 36.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 485.1 ±15.3

7130Future Shock

Season APEX 131.5Event APEX 74.3Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

86Team Resistance

Season APEX 141.4Event APEX 93.12Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

233The Pink Team

Season APEX 212.2Event APEX 163.96Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 407.1 ±13.3

10162Viking Robotics

Season APEX 183.7Event APEX -1.22Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

744Shark Attack

Season APEX 150.1Event APEX 122.62Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

21ComBBAT

Season APEX 73.3Event APEX 35.95Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7130, 86, 233

/ 100 compat

Projected

331.4 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7130, 86, 233

Auto

40.1 12%

Teleop

187.9 56%

Endgame

104.9 32%

Strengths

· 233 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10162, 744, 21

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.4 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 10162, 744, 21

Auto

38.4 26%

Teleop

95.4 63%

Endgame

16.7 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score331.4pts

Blue projected score157.4pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 174
Score range: 125–363
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 467 vs event baseline 177.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

485.1Season APEX407.1

40.1Auto38.4

187.9Teleop95.4

104.9Endgame16.7

71Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	80	17
teleop	168	22
endgame	94	66
foul	15	5
total	357	110

Result

Final score

357 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 36.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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