Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

215.47 – 307.85

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

165 – 353

Prediction correct · off by 47.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 322.7 ±16

744Shark Attack

Season APEX 150.1Event APEX 119.66Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6145War Eagles

Provisional

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 17.09Rank 35Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8324MECO Robotics

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 78.72Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 441.8 ±12.2

5816Gra-V Robotics

Season APEX 65.6Event APEX 3.82Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2992The S.S. Prometheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 226.76Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6184C4 (Capital City Chaotic Coders)

Season APEX 111.5Event APEX 77.27Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 744, 6145, 8324

/ 100 compat

Projected

215.5 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 744, 6145, 8324

Auto

39.0 19%

Teleop

134.1 64%

Endgame

35.3 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5816, 2992, 6184

/ 100 compat

Projected

307.8 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 5816, 2992, 6184

Auto

52.8 18%

Teleop

172.5 58%

Endgame

74.5 25%

Strengths

· 2992 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.14 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score215.5pts

Blue projected score307.8pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -92.4
Score range: 178–345
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 518 vs event baseline 206.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

322.7Season APEX441.8

39Auto52.8

134.1Teleop172.5

35.3Endgame74.5

45Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	56
teleop	117	225
endgame	8	72
foul	5	0
total	165	353

Result

Final score

165 – 353

Prediction correct · off by 47.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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