Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

78.59 – 122.77

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

47 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 21.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 184 ±19.4

3502Octo(PI)Rates

Provisional

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 8.5Rank 42Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

4179Tahisco Techs

Provisional

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 26.17Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

21ComBBAT

Season APEX 73.3Event APEX 43.92Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 245.4 ±14.1

5472The Wyld Stallyns

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 43.68Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3164Stealth Tigers

Season APEX 70.5Event APEX 11.02Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

6722LED Robotics

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 68.07Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3502, 4179, 21

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.6 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 3502, 4179, 21

Auto

15.7 21%

Teleop

21.1 29%

Endgame

36.9 50%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5472, 3164, 6722

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.8 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 5472, 3164, 6722

Auto

16.4 14%

Teleop

56.1 48%

Endgame

43.9 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score78.6pts

Blue projected score122.8pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -44.2
Score range: 47–155
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 182 vs event baseline 175.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

184Season APEX245.4

15.7Auto16.4

21.1Teleop56.1

36.9Endgame43.9

39Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	17
teleop	12	93
endgame	14	25
foul	0	0
total	47	135

Result

Final score

47 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 21.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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